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J Huizinga's avatar

A concise picture of the basic situation.

Those of us who studied (post-Renaissance) European history at university are hardly surprised. The subject (as taught in history departments) was essentially an unbroken chain of shifting monarchies and succession — and war. European countries (east and west) have never been able to live in peace with each other. Traditional accounts relate that the only somewhat quiescent period between nations was post-1815 to the Franco-Prussian war (1870).

But that quiet period disguises the reality that most major powers were too distracted by their colonial efforts. When that period seemed stabilized, they returned to fight each other (1914). Twice they dragged in the US.

Richard states accurately that a third attempt is now being made, by the precisely the same protagonists, to bring the US in as a “backstop” (read: backdoor).

Whatever other failings he might have, I think Trump understands this and is trying to avoid being dragged in. If he fails this test on Ukraine (for whatever reason), his term is likely doomed to failure as the Middle East will prove his Achilles heel.

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Franz Kafka's avatar

Russia is Europe. That is where European Values, if they ever existed, can be preserved. As for the rest of Europe - cut it loose.

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